Hi Surak, I must question your methodology. You admittedly seek an approach that bears itself out with historical data. Okay, sounds rational. However, the problem is the count of approaches possible. For example, if we want to look for approaches that properly predict the last 25 elections, knowing all too well that winners are going to go back and forth and have limited repeats, then we may only need to look at a hundred approaches before we find one that does a good job. As such, I am skeptical of your ability to use your approach to make valuable predictions. But it is fun!
Hi Surak, I must question your methodology. You admittedly seek an approach that bears itself out with historical data. Okay, sounds rational. However, the problem is the count of approaches possible. For example, if we want to look for approaches that properly predict the last 25 elections, knowing all too well that winners are going to go back and forth and have limited repeats, then we may only need to look at a hundred approaches before we find one that does a good job. As such, I am skeptical of your ability to use your approach to make valuable predictions. But it is fun!